Page 11: 2015 NCAA tourney betting guide

While bettors overwhelmingly tend to take the favorite during the regular season, the NCAA tournament is a rare time when the public jumps all over the underdog.

Coaching is a huge part of any sport, but particularly in college basketball. To eliminate these teams, we focused solely on teams that won their previous game. With public support shifting, we theorized that there would be value fading these so-called “trendy underdogs.”

Most profitable tournament coaches since 2005. Unfortunately, this system would also include teams that were an underdog during their last conference tournament game. Sure, the Super Bowl may take a larger handle than any individual game, but the cumulative number of bets taken during March Madness dwarfs even the mighty beast known as the NFL playoffs.

In last week’s conference tournament betting guide, we detailed a system that focuses on large underdogs in low-scoring games, and explained how public betting patterns change during the postseason. While managing egos seems to be the largest challenge for NBA coaches, imparting fundamentals and turning five talented individuals into one cohesive unit are just two of the struggles facing college coaches. Whatever the reason, our historical archive reveals a distinct change in public betting behavior.

Bettors can also use the public betting trends available on ESPN Chalk’s Live Odds page to track favorites receiving less than 50 percent of spread bets.

More money hits the market during the NCAA tournament than any other time in the sports betting calendar. At the time of publication, OSU was receiving just 24 percent of spread bets.

Our theory posits that when an underdog pulls off an unlikely upset, square bettors have difficulty accepting the team’s new role as a favorite. This addition leads to a 12-2 ATS record with +9.45 units won and a 67.5 percent ROI.

During the regular season, a majority of public bettors take the underdog in just 17.65 percent of games; that figure reaches 23.82 percent for the NCAA tournament. If bettors are willing to take a 12-seed over a 5-seed straight up, it makes sense that they would also be willing to bet the 12-seed getting points.

With so few past system picks on the third tier of this system, it’s no surprise that there are no current game matches for the opening-round games. Below is a list of the best and worst coaches to bet on in the NCAA tourney this year and their corresponding ATS tourney records.

Using Sport Insights’ Bet Labs software, we found that tournament favorites that receive less than 50 percent of spread bets have gone 86-65 ATS (+16.24 units won, 10.8 percent ROI) over the past 10 years. The Cowboys lost their previous game against Oklahoma and opened as a 1-point favorite against Oregon. The table below summarizes the results of our analysis.

Least profitable tournament coaches since 2005

Perhaps bettors consider all tournament participants to be upper-echelon teams and are content taking the points regardless of opponent. When this team was also an underdog in its previous game, the number of past matches is reduced dramatically, but we’re left with a 27-11 ATS record (+14.5 units, 38.2 percent ROI).

Best and worst coaches to bet on

One reason for this phenomenon may be that bettors are used to taking upsets in their brackets, making them more likely to gravitate toward the underdog. However, we do have a Tier 2 match on Oklahoma State

Column: FIFA presidency no laughing matter as would-be candidate becomes frontman for gambling

Bet again. That was before online bookmakers offered odds on anything and everything, from match results and goals scored to which team will win the coin toss or take the first corner, and before their relentless advertising.

But that’s not the point here. FIFA’s election and ethics rules will almost certainly keep him off the May ballot. This was about making a splash.

Twaddle takes a very dim view of Ginola’s Paddy Power-backed grab for FIFA.

That is the message that football, more than most other sports, is mainlining into our homes, helped by names like Ginola and teams lending their cachet, stadiums, jerseys and players to the industry that had cash to splash when the 2008 financial crisis hobbled other sponsors.

Imagine, for a moment, a Paddy Power-financed FIFA president. It won’t happen; FIFA’s ethics rules should see to that. Bet some more.

And that isn’t funny at all.

One of those is Kevin Twaddle, a former player for Motherwell and other Scottish clubs who told his story in the biography, “Life On The Line: How to Lose a Million and So Much More.” He no longer gambles and has delivered talks to other players about the risks.

John Leicester is an international sports columnist for The Associated Press. “It’s great for Paddy Power. It reads like a plug for Fifty Shades of Grey.

“I’m here today to talk about love” were the Frenchman’s seductive opening words at his campaign launch in London this month.

All this in a sport grappling with the increasing danger of gambling-related match-fixing and with ample examples of gambling-addicted players who frittered away their wealth.. So silky as a player for Newcastle and Tottenham; so ridiculous now with his car-crash campaign for the FIFA presidency.

Bet. What ever happened to sport for sport’s sake, for the buzz of competition, not a bet? How quaint. That much was clear from the Paddy Power branding.

But gambling advertising wasn’t as in-your-face as now. In pocketing 250,000 pounds (335,000 euros; US$375,000) from bookmaker Paddy Power for this stunt, Ginola became the latest Trojan horse in the gambling and gaming industry’s creeping and creepy embrace of football.

“It’s eyeballs we’re after,” 12Bet executive Rory Anderson, quoted in the Daily Mail, said when the online bookmaker became the name on Hull City’s shirt for this Premier League season.

PARIS –  Don’t laugh. Villa’s shirt sponsor is dafabet, a name that works better in Chinese, where “dafa” means “big wealth.” Stoke and Burnley players are billboards for Bet365 and Fun88 (another name that plays on the Chinese word to get rich).


Sports and gambling have, of course, long gone together, feeding off each other’s success and growth. The increase was three-fold for children aged 4-15.

Sport “matters more when there’s money on it,” it says. But the mere thought of the gambling industry even attempting to place a stooge at the very top of football makes the prospect of another Blatter term seem perhaps not quite so bad.

We’re talking here about David Ginola. In the UK, which liberalized gambling advertising in 2007, adults’ exposure to gambling commercials on television soared five-fold in eight years to 2012, regulator Ofcom found. Hull against Aston Villa on Feb. But I mean you’re talking about one of the biggest, powerfulest jobs in football and all you’re getting to hear about is Paddy Power.”

“It just makes like a mockery of football.”

Ginola has zero chance of unseating Sepp Blatter. After Thursday’s passing of the entry deadline, “Team Ginola” should fade away.

Whoa. There’s nothing funny about the gambling industry’s latest wheeze to sink its teeth even deeper into football and its fans.

Asking your kids to make tea during half-time breaks won’t shield them from the bombardment, not with gambling ads flashing throughout matches on pitch-side light-boards. “There’s more passion, more pleasure and more pain.”

And how about this blurb from Sky Bet, title sponsor since 2013 of England’s three divisions below the Premier League. Write to him at or follow him at

“It’s an absolute disgrace,” he said in a phone interview. 10 will pit two Asian online bookmakers against each other. Tuning in for results of football betting pools, which offered big jackpots for small stakes, was a Saturday afternoon ritual for many 20th Century English families.

But the targets were our wallets and spending habits, not our hearts

I almost plaid with troosers down; SNOOKER WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP McManus belts up to put Higgins on brink.

But I was just flat from the start.

‘They were a bit loose. Mark Selby also went the distance to knock out Michael White 10-9.


McManus, however, revealed he could have been left red-faced during the opening session after forgetting a belt to help keep up his part of a “dare” with fellow professional Anthony McGill at The Crucible.

Trailing 1-0 to four-time world champion Higgins, McManus managed to borrow a belt from a member of the press.

And with his capitulation Burnett missed out on a mouth-watering last-16 clash with champion Ronnie O’Sullivan.

“My shirt was coming out and that can happen with new trousers you have never played in. I lost interest in the match. I should have been really excited 6-3 up and the chance to play Ronnie O’Sullivan in the next round. I’m not calling it a day but I can’t do anything else. I suppose they could have fallen down. All rights reserved.

. He will take a commanding 6-3 lead into today’s concluding session, requiring just four more frames to reach the last 16.


PATRIOTIC Scotsman Alan McManus feared his trousers were going to fall down at The Crucible yesterday as he plaid his heart out against John Higgins.

“It is Mackenzie tartan but they were a bit loose as I forgot to bring my belt with me.

“I do get interested in the big tournaments but I don’t really put any pressure on myself anymore to do anything.

“I don’t really care anymore. If I was to drop off the tour it wouldn’t make any difference to me to be honest.

“I’ve been playing for a long time and I’ve been fed up with it for a few years now.

COPYRIGHT 2014 Scottish Daily Record Sunday

No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.

Earlier in the day disillusioned Scot Jamie Burnett crashed out at the first hurdle and revealed he doesn’t “care about snooker any more”.

Sporting a classy pair of tartan slacks 43-year-old McManus turned back the clock to leave his fellow Scot’s Dafabet World Championship hopes hanging by a thread in Sheffield.

“I don’t really practise a lot now. I don’t think so but you never know what could have happened out there in the arena.”

McManus said: “I am very patriotic and to be honest it was a bit of a dare between me and Anthony McGill if either, or both of us, got to The Crucible.

BEST PLAID PLANS Alan McManus focuses on play after sorting out his breeks

HANGING BY THREAD John Higgins is in trouble at Crucible

He said: “I don’t really care about snooker any more, I’ve lost a lot of enjoyment for the game.

Copyright 2014 Gale, Cengage Learning. I suppose they could have fallen down in the arena’ ALAN MCMANUS

English qualifier Michael Wasley pulled off a massive upset when he beat world No.2 Ding Junhui of China 10-9. I’m 39 shortly so it’s just not the same for me anymore. It’s a job I don’t enjoy.”

Burnett was favourite to win his first match in four attempts at The Crucible.

But the struggling world No.45 watched Perry win six frames on the spin to turn the contest on its head.

And that did the trick as he won six frames in a row before his opponent reduced his lead with the last two of the session.

He squandered a commanding 6-3 lead to crash 10-7 to England’s Joe Perry.

“It’s a bit of a chore

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The Super Bowl: America’s Biggest Bet

But, who sets those odds and how? It’s a process of combining cold calculations with the occasional hunch.

Play Video

Watch Lara Logan’s report.

60 Minutes Overtime

The Super Bowl: America’s Biggest Bet

More people bet on the Super Bowl than any other sporting event. All Rights Reserved.

Legal sports gambling is all about playing the odds: checking the point spread in a game and deciding the team upon which to place your money.

As Super Bowl 45 draws near, “60 Minutes Overtime” goes behind-the-scenes with Las Vegas betting legend Billy Walters and renowned oddsmaker Kenny White, for their exclusive insight on the Vegas sports betting world.

© 2011 CBS Interactive Inc. So, how does a professional gambler approach the big game? Online Gambling Site to be the Primary Sponsor of the World Snooker Open – National Billiards

All the players are looking forward to it, myself included. We are glad to be on board and are excited about the new best of five format.”

The one-year deal will see the tournament, which runs from September 18 to 26 at the SECC in Glasgow, named the World Open.

The world ranking event will feature star players including Ronnie O’Sullivan, Stephen Hendry, Steve Davis, Jimmy White, Mark Selby and World Champion Neil Robertson. We hope they enjoy what should be a great tournament and look forward to building a strong relationship with them.”

Masters champion Selby added: “It’s always exciting to have a new sponsor and it seems a long time now since we had a ranking event without one. I am sure the World Open will be a great tournament. The new World Open, with a new format, new venue, and new arena, is one of the cornerstones of the new era so we’re thrilled to have a title sponsor on board.

Rory Anderson, CEO for Europe at 12bet, said: “We are delighted to add the World Open to our fast growing sponsorship portfolio. We’ll all be trying to win it and play our best snooker.”

World Snooker Chairman Barry Hearn said: “This is a fantastic piece of news for our sport at just the right time. It carries a total prize fund of £502,500 with the winner to receive £100,000.

Tickets are still on sale, for details call 0844 395 4000 or visit

World Snooker is delighted to announce online betting firm as the new title sponsor of the World Open.. This event will give our brand fantastic exposure not only in the UK but throughout Europe. We’ve made giant strides forward in the commercial success of snooker in recent months and this keeps the momentum going.

The nine-day tournament will feature quick-fire best-of-five frame matches and a random draw for each round.

Press Release from World Snooker – September 13th, 2010

“With over 50 hours coverage on BBC and a combined global audience reaching over 100 million, the tournament will give vast exposure to’s brand so it’s easy to see their motivation behind getting involved with snooker

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Luis Figo competira contra Blatter por presidencia de FIFA

Le hablo a mucha gente del fútbol, a jugadores, a técnicos y a presidentes de asociaciones, mucha gente que me ha dicho que hay que hacer algo”, expresó Figo.

Platini había apoyado también la candidatura de otro vicepresidente de la FIFA como él, el príncipe jordano Ali bin al-Hussein.

El portugués, quien fue elegido el mejor jugador del año en el 2001, lanzó su campaña una hora antes que el presidente de la federación de Holanda Michael van Praag realizase una conferencia de prensa para explicar su candidatura.

El presidente de la UEFA Michel Platini decidió en agosto pasado no postularse.

Otros posibles candidatos son el ex dirigente de la FIFA Jerome Champagne –viejo aliado de Blatter y el único que ha ofrecido un programa detallado– y el ex jugador francés David Ginola, quien se postula en nombre de una agencia de apuestas que le paga para que lo haga.

Blatter es amplio favorito para ganar un quinto mandato en la votación del 29 de mayo a pesar de una serie de escándalos por denuncias de corrupción y malos manejos financieros que han involucrado a varios miembros del comité ejecutivo de la FIFA.

Van Praag, quien criticó abiertamente a Blatter a lo largo del año pasado, dijo el lunes que se postulaba porque no había surgido ninguna otra “candidatura con credibilidad”.

No está claro si Figo y Ginola pasarán los exámenes de integridad que hace el comité de ética de la FIFA.

Blatter necesitaría dos tercios de los votos para ganar en la primera ronda de una votación secreta entre los 209 miembros de la FIFA en Zúrich, o una mayoría simple en la segunda.

El plazo para presentar candidaturas acompañadas de las nominaciones de cinco de las 209 asociaciones afiliadas a la FIFA se vence a las 2300 GMT del jueves.

Figo fue embajador de la UEFA en la final de la Liga de Campeones en Lisboa el año pasado y van Praag es miembro del comité ejecutivo de la UEFA.

Van Praag dice que también cuenta con cinco nominaciones pero, al igual que Figo, no ha dicho qué asociaciones lo respaldan.

GINEBRA, Suiza (AP) — Luis Figo dice que es el hombre que puede destronar a Joseph Blatter y que cuenta con las nominaciones necesarias para presentar su candidatura para la presidencia de la FIFA.

Su portavoz Pedro Pinto se mostró el miércoles complacido con el anuncio de Figo.

El hecho de que ambos se presenten podría reflejar diferencias dentro de la UEFA, que oficialmente es la única asociación continental opuesta a Blatter.

Al margen de los escándalos, el dirigente suizo ha estado al frente de una operación que ha tenido un éxito comercial fenomenal a partir de la Copa Mundial, con reservas en efectivo de 1.500 millones de dólares y que reparte cada vez más dinero entre las federaciones nacionales, las cuales no han mostrado mucha voluntad de cambio.

Figo también cobra por hacer publicidad para una firma de apuestas, Dafabet, de Asia.

“Candidatos con credibilidad y nuevas ideas generarán un debate abierto en la campaña”, dijo Pinto en un comunicado.

El código de ética del organismo dice que los dirigentes tienen “prohibido participar, directa o indirectamente, o tener algún tipo de asociación con apuestas, juegos de azar, loterías y otras actividades o transacciones relacionadas con los partidos de fútbol”.

Se espera que el presidente de la comisión que supervisa las elecciones, Domenico Scala, publique la lista final de candidatos antes de mediados de febrero.

El exjugador de Real Madrid y Barcelona anunció el lanzamiento de su candidatura el miércoles, en coincidencia con la transmisión de una entrevista con CNN.

Blatter dirige la FIFA desde 1998 y lleva 40 años trabajando para el organismo.

“Veo la reputación de la FIFA en estos momento y no me gusta lo que veo. El fútbol se merece algo mejor”, dijo Figo, de 42 años, en un comunicado. “Es bueno para la FIFA y es bueno para el fútbol que haya candidatos válidos, con amplia experiencia en el deporte, de distintas partes del mundo”.. “El fútbol me ha dado mucho y ahora quiero devolverle algo”.

“He visto deteriorarse la imagen de la FIFA

Online Betting Operator 12Bet Linked to Illegal Gambling

Mr. Hung’s sister was in on the illegal activity as her involvement included the opening of several bank accounts that provided gamblers ways to deposit funds into their accounts, and then later converted into virtual currencies.

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Besides the 10 that were already arrested, police have interest in more than 10 additional individuals in connection with the illegal gaming activity. Hung had been managing the ring for several months with the websites’ gaming server located overseas in the Philippines. Hung is a publisher of a Vietnamese version of the gay lifestyle magazine Attitude and according to an illegal gambling ring bust on January 23rd an online gambling ring leader.

Online Betting Operator 12Bet Linked to Illegal GamblingInvestigations led the Vietnamese police to arrest To Cong Hung. Hung along with nine other accomplices raked in close to $47 million in illegal wagers.

12Bet and To Cong Hung, 33, Alleged Leader of Illegal Online Gambling Ring Arrested as Police Break Up  $47 million Illegal Gambling Ring

Investigations reported that Mr. He transferred tens of millions U.S Dollars to gamblers each month making the total of transfers close to $47 million USD.. Hung was the director of a magazine dedicated to the gay community in Ho Chi Minh City, so his name was widely known throughout. The investigation is still ongoing with police looking further into the matter.

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